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The drying up began in 2022, but with so many people having purchased bikes and e-bikes in 2020 and 2021, demand has yet to return. In an analysis piece on the industry website Bicycle Retailer and Industry News, Rick Vosper showed that e-bikes are poised to save the bike industry from what would otherwise be an industry-wide depression.
After brands placed huge orders to refill their depleted stock in 2020 and 2021, the glut of inventory caused imports of pedal-only bikes to shrink by 31 percent in 2022. That’s a huge drop, but it was followed by an even bigger drop of 41 percent in 2022. The 5.4 million regular bikes imported in 2023 represents the lowest number of imported bikes since 1981, when our country was digging out of the late-1970s recession.
E-bike sales, by comparison, have been on a very different trajectory. In 2016, e-bikes represented only 2 percent of the bikes imported to the U.S. In 2023, e-bikes made up 18 percent of the total number of bikes brought into the country. Even though e-bike imports fell by almost 1 million units in 2023—a 10 percent fall relative to 2022—they were still 15 points higher than the imports for 2021.
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Of course, the next question is why this matters to our readership. Aside from the possibility that you might find the growth of the e-bike side of the industry as fascinating as we do, there are two reasons.
Reason one is that as we’ve seen the e-bike market grow, e-bikes have improved in quality and dropped in price, so the continuing growth of the industry is good for consumers. The second reason is that even if your e-bike is in perfect working order right now, sooner or later you’re going to need the services of a good bike shop. From bleeding hydraulic disc brakes to replacing chains, cassettes and chainrings, e-bike owners will need the help of a bike shop sooner or later and building a relationship now, when they need the business, may pay dividends later.
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